Arkansas State defeated Missouri State 34–28 in a closely contested finish. Arkansas State covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 6.5.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
This game was played indoors at Ford Center At The Star in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.
~72°F
Missouri State travels 346 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Arkansas State won by 6 in a closely contested finish.
Arkansas State covered the spread.
The total went Over by 6.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arkansas State (-5.5) over Missouri State (-9.9) by 4.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arkansas State brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Arkansas State won and Arkansas State covered the spread.
