14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Xbox Bowl • December 19, 2025, 02:00 AM UTC
Missouri State @ Arkansas State
0-0
CUSA
Power Rank: -9.9
28 FINAL 34
0-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -5.5

By · Last updated

Arkansas State defeated Missouri State 34–28 in a closely contested finish.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:00 PM CST
Stadium: Ford Center At The Star
Capacity: 12,000
Elevation: 0 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Arkansas State +4.4
Prediction Markets Arkansas State 53% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: Ford Center At The Star
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Missouri State (Away)

This Week: 346.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 9478.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 20

Arkansas State (Home)

This Week: 399.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5419.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 20

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line —
Total Points —
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Missouri State -9.9
Arkansas State -5.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 346 mi
Home Team Travel 399 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Ford Center At The Star
Capacity 12,000
Elevation 0 ft
Weather
Temperature —°F
Wind Speed — mph
Your Line Arkansas State +4.4
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Missouri State vs Arkansas State?

Missouri State: Key Factors

Arkansas State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Missouri State travels 346 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Arkansas State won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

How do Missouri State and Arkansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arkansas State (-5.5) over Missouri State (-9.9) by 4.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Missouri State and Arkansas State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Arkansas State won this game.