@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 9 •
University Stadium (NM)

Utah State14 @FINAL 33New Mexico

4-3 MW Power rating: -5.5
4-3 MW Power rating: -2.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNM -3.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UNM -4.3
Edge
+1.3UNM
See details
◂ favors USUfavors UNM ▸Market: UNM -3.0
UNM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UNM
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 USU1 UNM2 USU2 UNMModel: UNM -4.3

Betting information

Spread
UNM -3.0
Total
61.5
Odds implied score
USU 29.3 – 32.3 UNM

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

New Mexico defeated Utah State 33–14 to secure a comfortable win. New Mexico covered by 16.0; Game went Under by 14.5. The market closed at New Mexico -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it New Mexico -4.3, an edge of 1.3 points toward New Mexico.

What were the weather conditions for Utah State vs New Mexico?

At kickoff, conditions at University Stadium (NM) were Clear, 63°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Utah State travels 540 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

New Mexico won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

New Mexico covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 14.5 points.

How do Utah State and New Mexico compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor New Mexico (-2.6) over Utah State (-5.5) by 2.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. New Mexico brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Utah State and New Mexico?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

New Mexico won and New Mexico covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Clear

63°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity39%
Wind1 mph W
Gusts3 mph
Wind map for Utah State at New Mexico: aerial view of University Stadium (NM), wind from the W at 1.3 mph, gusting to 2.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM MDT
Venue
University Stadium (NM)
Capacity
39,224
Elevation
5,121 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Utah StateAway New MexicoHome
This week540 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total11,663 miles7,265 miles
Body clock13:0013:00
Rest7 days6 days

Other games this week