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Week 9 •
Gesa Field

Toledo7 @FINAL 28Washington State

4-3 MAC Power rating: 2.2
3-4 Pac-12 Power rating: -1.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TOL -1.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TOL -0.3
Edge
+1.1WSU
See details
◂ favors TOLfavors WSU ▸Market: TOL -1.5
‹ 3.5 TOL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
WSU
no impact
WSU
no impact
no impact
1 TOL1 WSU2 TOL2 WSUModel: TOL -0.3

Betting information

Spread
TOL -1.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
TOL 23.0 – 21.5 WSU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Washington State defeated Toledo 28–7 to secure a comfortable win. Washington State covered by 22.5; Game went Under by 9.5. The market closed at Toledo -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Toledo -0.3, an edge of 1.1 points toward Washington State. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Toledo 3.5 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for Toledo vs Washington State?

Washington State

Eckhaus's Dual-Threat Performance

Zevi Eckhaus accounted for three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing) and led the team with 74 rushing yards, showing his ability to make plays with both his arm and legs despite completing only 10 of 22 passes for 159 yards with two interceptions.

Strong Defensive Effort

Washington State held Toledo to just seven points and 238 passing yards, forcing one interception and limiting the Rockets to a single touchdown in the first half, which set the tone for the 28-7 victory.

Balanced Rushing Attack

The Cougars rushed for over 150 yards as a team, with Kirby Vorhees adding 62 yards and a late touchdown, complementing Eckhaus's mobility and providing a reliable ground game to control the clock.

Turnover Issues to Address

Eckhaus threw two interceptions, which could be a concern against stronger opponents; Washington State will need to protect the ball better to maintain momentum in future games.

Improved Record and Momentum

With the win, Washington State improved to 4-4, snapping a potential losing streak and building confidence heading into their next matchup, where they will look to build on this balanced performance.

What were the weather conditions for Toledo vs Washington State?

At kickoff, conditions at Gesa Field were Moderate or heavy rain with thunder, 47°F, wind chill 42°F with winds of 8 mph. A 100% chance of rain with around 0.17 inches expected points to a genuinely wet field. Ball security and the kicking game are the exposures. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Toledo travels 1,689 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Washington State won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

Washington State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

How do Toledo and Washington State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Toledo (2.2) over Washington State (-1.3) by 3.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Washington State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Washington State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Toledo and Washington State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Washington State won and Washington State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Moderate or heavy rain with thunder

47°F

Rain100%
Precip0.17"
Humidity93%
Wind8 mph WSW
Gusts11 mph
Wind chill42°F
Wind map for Toledo at Washington State: aerial view of Gesa Field, wind from the WSW at 7.6 mph, gusting to 10.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
12:30 PM PDT
Venue
Gesa Field
Capacity
32,952
Elevation
2,546 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

ToledoAway Washington StateHome
This week1,689 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game4,088 miles
Season total2,461 miles11,723 miles
Body clock15:3012:30
Rest7 days7 days

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