Week 9
Memorial Stadium

Kansas State42 @FINAL 17Kansas , Week 9, Oct 25, 2025

3-4 Big 12 Power rating: 8.7
4-3 Big 12 Power rating: 9.2

How did the line hold up?

Market line
KU -3.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
KU -3.1
Edge
-0.4KSU
See details
◂ favors KSUfavors KU ▸Market: KU -3.5
KU
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
KU
no impact
no impact
no impact
KSU
1 KSU1 KU2 KSU2 KU3 KSU3 KUModel: KU -3.1

Betting information

Spread
KU -3.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
KSU 26.0 – 29.5 KU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Kansas State defeated Kansas 42–17 to secure a comfortable win. Kansas State covered by 28.5; Game went Over by 3.5. The market closed at Kansas -3.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Kansas -3.1. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Kansas State vs Kansas?

Kansas State

Dominant Performance and Momentum

Kansas State dominated Kansas 42-17, winning their 17th straight Sunflower Showdown. The team has won three of its last four games, showing improved form after a difficult start, and appears to be hitting its stride at a crucial point in the season.

Offensive Explosion Led by Avery Johnson

Quarterback Avery Johnson threw for 231 yards and accounted for four touchdowns (two passing, two rushing), including a 78-yard touchdown pass to Jayce Brown. Brown finished with four catches for 160 yards, highlighting the big-play capability of the offense.

Defensive Dominance and Turnovers

The Wildcats' defense held Kansas to 247 total yards (well below their average of 418.3), recorded four sacks and seven tackles for loss, forced a fumble returned for a touchdown, and intercepted a pass. They also limited Kansas to 6-of-16 on third down and 1-of-5 on fourth down.

Resilience After Early Adversity

Despite fumbling the opening kickoff, which led to a quick Kansas touchdown, Kansas State showed remarkable poise and responded with a long touchdown drive, a punt return touchdown, and never trailed again. This resilience contrasts with earlier close losses (all by six points or fewer).

Next Game Against No. 14 Texas Tech

Kansas State faces No. 14 Texas Tech next Saturday. The team's recent strong performances, especially on defense and with Johnson's dual-threat ability, will be key against a ranked opponent. The Wildcats will need to maintain their focus and execution to continue their winning streak.

What were the weather conditions for Kansas State vs Kansas?

At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium were Overcast, 55°F with winds of 12 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Kansas State travels 74 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Kansas State won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

Kansas State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 3.5 points.

How do Kansas State and Kansas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kansas (9.2) over Kansas State (8.7) by 0.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kansas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Kansas State won and Kansas State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

55°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind12 mph ESE
Gusts17 mph
Wind map for Kansas State at Kansas: aerial view of Memorial Stadium, wind from the ESE at 12.3 mph, gusting to 16.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CDT
Venue
Memorial Stadium
Capacity
52,530
Elevation
935 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Kansas StateAway KansasHome
This week74 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total11,281 miles3,513 miles
Body clock11:0011:00
Rest14 days14 days