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Week 8 • October 19, 2025, 02:30 AM UTC
Florida State @ Stanford
3-3
ACC
Power Rank: 15.8
13 FINAL 20
2-4
ACC
Power Rank: -2.4
Stanford covered by 25.5 | Game went Under by 21.5

By · Last updated

Stanford defeated Florida State 20–13 in a one-score game. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Florida State 18.2 points stronger on a neutral field.

Florida State @ Stanford Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM PDT
Stadium: Stanford Stadium
Capacity: 50,424
Elevation: 46 ft
HFA Rating: 1.8
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Florida State -18.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score FSU 36.5 - 18.0 STAN
Power Rank Implied Line Florida State +18.2
Prediction Markets Florida State 89% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Patchy light rain in area with thunder

Patchy light rain in area with thunder

51.8°F

Wind Chill: 51.2°F
Wind: 3.6 mph SW
Gusts: 6.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 79%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Florida State (Away)

This Week: 2212.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3708.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 22:30
Rest Days: 8

Stanford (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 2933.7 miles
Season Total: 18474.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Florida State -18.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Florida State 15.8
Stanford -2.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 2212 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Stanford Stadium
Capacity 50,424
Elevation 46 ft
Weather: Patchy light rain in area with thunder
Temperature 51.8°F
Wind Speed 3.6 mph
Your Line Stanford -18.2
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Florida State vs Stanford?

Florida State: Key Factors

Stanford: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Florida State travels 2,212 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Florida State arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.

Stanford won by 7 in a one-score game.

Stanford covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 21.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Stanford Stadium?

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Florida State and Stanford compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Florida State (15.8) over Stanford (-2.4) by 18.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Stanford faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Stanford brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida State and Stanford?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Stanford won and Stanford covered the spread.