DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Stanford defeated Florida State 20–13 in a one-score game. Stanford covered by 24.5; Game went Under by 22.5. The market closed at Florida State -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Florida State -14.9, an edge of 2.6 points toward Stanford. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Florida State 18.2 points stronger on a neutral field.
Florida State committed critical penalties, including a delay of game before the first snap, another before a missed field goal, and an offsides on a fourth-and-1 hard count. These mistakes contributed to their inability to sustain drives and score consistently.
Despite a valiant comeback attempt, including a 49-yard desperation pass and a pass interference call that set up an untimed down from the 2-yard line, the Seminoles failed to convert on the final play, with Gavin Sawchuk being stopped just short of the goal line.
Starter Tommy Castellanos was knocked out of the game due to a targeting foul, forcing backup Kevin Sperry into action. Sperry nearly led a game-winning drive but the offense could not finish, highlighting depth concerns at quarterback.
The defense allowed a 13-play, 94-yard touchdown drive in the third quarter and committed a costly offsides penalty on a missed field goal that turned into a Stanford touchdown. These breakdowns put the offense in a constant hole.
The loss extends Florida State's ACC losing streak to nine games, and the team's frustration was evident in sideline exchanges. This lack of confidence and discipline could hinder their preparation for Wake Forest on Nov. 1.
At kickoff, conditions at Stanford Stadium were Clear, 59°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
59°F
| Measure | Florida StateAway | StanfordHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 2,212 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 2,934 miles |
| Season total | 3,450 miles | 13,671 miles |
| Body clock | 22:30 | 19:30 |
| Rest | 8 days | 8 days |
