Week 8 • October 18, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
1-5
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -15.2
24 FINAL 41
2-4
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -9.0
Georgia Southern covered by 9.5 | Game went Over by 5.5

Georgia Southern defeated Georgia State 41–24 to secure a comfortable win.

Georgia State @ Georgia Southern Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Capacity: 25,000
Elevation: 230 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Georgia Southern -7.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score GAST 26.0 - 33.5 GASO
Power Rank Implied Line Georgia Southern +6.2
Prediction Markets Georgia Southern 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

32.3°F

Wind Chill: 25.5°F
Wind: 7.6 mph WSW
Gusts: 15.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 51%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Georgia State (Away)

This Week: 176.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2215.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

Georgia Southern (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10279.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 9

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Georgia Southern -7.5
Total Points 59.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Georgia State -15.2
Georgia Southern -9.0
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 177 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Georgia Southern +2
HFA: Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Capacity 25,000
Elevation 230 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 32.3°F
Wind Speed 7.6 mph
Your Line Georgia Southern +6.2
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Georgia State vs Georgia Southern?

Georgia State: Key Factors

Georgia Southern: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Georgia State travels 177 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Georgia Southern won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Georgia Southern covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Allen E. Paulson Stadium?

At 32.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Georgia State and Georgia Southern compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Georgia Southern (-9.0) over Georgia State (-15.2) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Georgia Southern brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Georgia Southern won and Georgia Southern covered the spread.