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Week 7 •
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Utah State26 @FINAL 44Hawai'i

3-2 MW Power rating: -3.6
4-2 MW Power rating: -6.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USU -1.5
PM Implied
USU -0.8
Blue Chip model
HAW -2.0
Edge
+3.5HAW
See details
◂ favors USUfavors HAW ▸Market: USU -1.5
USU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
HAW
no impact
HAW
no impact
no impact
2 USU2 HAW4 USU4 HAWModel: HAW -2.0

Betting information

Spread
USU -1.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
USU 29.5 – 28.0 HAW
Prediction markets
USU 54% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Hawai'i defeated Utah State 44–26 to secure a comfortable win. Hawai'i covered by 19.5; Game went Over by 12.5. The market closed at Utah State -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Hawai'i -2.0, an edge of 3.5 points toward Hawai'i.

What were the weather conditions for Utah State vs Hawai'i?

At kickoff, conditions at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex were Patchy rain possible, 75°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Utah State travels 3,013 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 4 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Hawai'i won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Hawai'i covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

How do Utah State and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Utah State (-3.6) over Hawai'i (-6.3) by 2.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Hawai'i faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Hawai'i brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Utah State and Hawai'i?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Hawai'i won and Hawai'i covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 12, 2025 Game-time

Patchy rain possible

75°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity77%
Wind8 mph ENE
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for Utah State at Hawai'i: aerial view of Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, wind from the ENE at 7.6 mph, gusting to 11.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
05:59 PM HST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity
16,909
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Utah StateAway Hawai'iHome
This week3,013 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total8,111 miles12,626 miles
Body clock21:5917:59
Rest15 days15 days

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