Kansas State defeated TCU 41–28 in a double-digit victory. Kansas State covered by 16.0; Game went Over by 14.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated TCU 4.6 points stronger on a neutral field.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Bill Snyder Family Stadium were Clear, 73.6°F, Feels Like 75.6°F with winds of 10.1 mph. Gusts reaching 21.0 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
73.6°F
Kansas State scored two defensive touchdowns, including a pick-6 by Des Purnell, and forced multiple turnovers, which were crucial in building and maintaining their lead against TCU.
Quarterback Avery Johnson completed 16 of 26 passes for 196 yards and three touchdowns, showing improved accuracy and decision-making after a rough start to the season.
Tight end Garrett Oakley caught two touchdown passes, becoming the all-time leader in touchdown catches among K-State tight ends, highlighting his reliability in the red zone.
The Wildcats held TCU to 1 of 4 on fourth down conversions, demonstrating their ability to make key stops in critical situations and limit opponent scoring chances.
Kansas State has a bye week before facing Kansas in the 'Sunflower Showdown' on Oct. 25, giving them extra time to prepare and recover, which could be advantageous for their next game.
TCU travels 450 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Kansas State won by 13 in a double-digit victory.
Kansas State covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Over by 14.5 points.
Gusts reaching 21.0 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour TCU (13.4) over Kansas State (8.8) by 4.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Kansas State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Kansas State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Kansas State won and Kansas State covered the spread.
