Week 7
Yulman Stadium

East Carolina19 @FINAL 26Tulane , Week 7, Oct 9, 2025

3-2 American Power rating: 5.1
4-1 American Power rating: 5.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TULN -7.0
PM Implied
TULN -4.8
Blue Chip model
TULN -2.2
Edge
-4.8ECU
See details
◂ favors ECUfavors TULN ▸Market: TULN -7.0
ECU
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TULN
ECU
TULN
no impact
no impact
2 ECU2 TULN4 ECU4 TULNModel: TULN -2.2

Betting information

Spread
TULN -7.0
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
ECU 23.3 – 30.3 TULN
Prediction markets
TULN 69% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Tulane defeated East Carolina 26–19 in a one-score game. Push covered by 0.0; Game went Under by 8.5. The market closed at Tulane -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Tulane -2.2 - a gap of 4.8 points toward East Carolina, of which 3.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for East Carolina vs Tulane?

East Carolina

Late Game Collapse

East Carolina tied the game at 19-19 with 5:48 left, but allowed a 12-play, 75-yard touchdown drive by Tulane in the final minutes, leading to a 26-19 loss.

Offensive Struggles in First Half

ECU was shut out in the first half, trailing 12-0 at halftime, which forced them to play catch-up for the rest of the game.

Strong Third Quarter Response

ECU scored 16 unanswered points in the third quarter to take a 16-12 lead, showing resilience and ability to adjust at halftime.

Quarterback Performance

Katin Houser completed 19 of 30 passes for 180 yards and a touchdown, but the offense lacked explosive plays and consistency.

Defensive Lapses in Critical Moments

The defense allowed a 63-yard touchdown pass in the fourth quarter and failed to stop Tulane's game-winning drive, despite forcing a tie earlier.

What were the weather conditions for East Carolina vs Tulane?

At kickoff, conditions at Yulman Stadium were Clear, 78°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

East Carolina travels 837 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

East Carolina arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Tulane won by 7 in a one-score game.

Push covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 8.5 points.

How do East Carolina and Tulane compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate East Carolina (5.1) and Tulane (5.0) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, home field, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Tulane brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Tulane won and Push covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 9, 2025 Game-time

Clear

78°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity83%
Wind6 mph NE
Gusts11 mph
Wind map for East Carolina at Tulane: aerial view of Yulman Stadium, wind from the NE at 6 mph, gusting to 10.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Yulman Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
16 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure East CarolinaAway TulaneHome
This week837 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total1,304 miles1,954 miles
Body clock19:3018:30
Rest14 days12 days