Kansas defeated UCF 27–20 in a one-score game. Kansas covered by 3.0; Game went Under by 6.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at FBC Mortgage Stadium were Patchy rain possible, 77.4°F, Heat Index 81.5°F with winds of 11.6 mph. Gusts reaching 23.5 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
77.4°F
Kansas travels 1,076 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Kansas arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Kansas won by 7 in a one-score game.
Kansas covered the spread.
The total went Under by 6.5 points.
Gusts reaching 23.5 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.
Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Kansas (8.3) over UCF (5.6) by 2.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UCF faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UCF brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Kansas won and Kansas covered the spread.
