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Week 10 • November 01, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky
3-4
CUSA
Power Rank: -16.5
16 FINAL 35
6-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -11.5
Western Kentucky covered by 9.5 | Game went Under by 2.5

By · Last updated

Western Kentucky defeated New Mexico State 35–16 to secure a comfortable win.

New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Capacity: 19,250
Elevation: 495 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Western Kentucky -9.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Expected Score NMSU 22.0 - 31.5 WKU
Power Rank Implied Line Western Kentucky +5.0
Prediction Markets Western Kentucky 75% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

28.9°F

Wind Chill: 24.4°F
Wind: 4.5 mph SW
Gusts: 9.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 91%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

New Mexico State (Away)

This Week: 1197.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6427.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:30
Rest Days: 9

Western Kentucky (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 934.4 miles
Season Total: 3621.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 11

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Western Kentucky -9.5
Total Points 53.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
New Mexico State -16.5
Western Kentucky -11.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1198 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Western Kentucky +2
HFA: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Capacity 19,250
Elevation 495 ft
Weather: Mist
Temperature 28.9°F
Wind Speed 4.5 mph
Your Line Western Kentucky +5.0
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky?

New Mexico State: Key Factors

Western Kentucky: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

New Mexico State travels 1,198 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

New Mexico State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Western Kentucky won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Western Kentucky covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium?

At 28.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do New Mexico State and Western Kentucky compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Western Kentucky (-11.5) over New Mexico State (-16.5) by 5.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Western Kentucky brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Mexico State and Western Kentucky?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Western Kentucky won and Western Kentucky covered the spread.