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Week 10 •
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

New Mexico State16 @FINAL 35Western Kentucky

3-4 CUSA Power rating: -16.5
6-2 CUSA Power rating: -11.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WKU -7.5
PM Implied
WKU -6.9
Blue Chip model
WKU -8.0
Edge
+0.5WKU
See details
◂ favors NMSUfavors WKU ▸Market: WKU -7.5
5.0 › WKU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
WKU
WKU
WKU
no impact
NMSU
1 NMSU1 WKU2 NMSU2 WKU3 NMSU3 WKUModel: WKU -8.0

Betting information

Spread
WKU -7.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
NMSU 23.0 – 30.5 WKU
Prediction markets
WKU 75% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Western Kentucky defeated New Mexico State 35–16 to secure a comfortable win. Western Kentucky covered by 11.5; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at Western Kentucky -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Western Kentucky -8.0. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky?

At kickoff, conditions at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium were Cloudy, 51°F with winds of 14 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

New Mexico State travels 1,198 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

New Mexico State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Western Kentucky won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Western Kentucky covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do New Mexico State and Western Kentucky compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Western Kentucky (-11.5) over New Mexico State (-16.5) by 5.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Western Kentucky brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Mexico State and Western Kentucky?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Western Kentucky won and Western Kentucky covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

51°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity77%
Wind14 mph NW
Gusts20 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for New Mexico State at Western Kentucky: aerial view of Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, wind from the NW at 13.9 mph, gusting to 19.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Capacity
19,250
Elevation
495 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

New Mexico StateAway Western KentuckyHome
This week1,198 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game934 miles
Season total6,427 miles3,621 miles
Body clock13:3014:30
Rest9 days11 days

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