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Week 10 •
Waldo Stadium

Central Michigan21 @FINAL 24Western Michigan

5-3 MAC Power rating: -8.7
4-4 MAC Power rating: -6.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WMU -6.0
PM Implied
WMU -4.4
Blue Chip model
WMU -4.7
Edge
-1.3CMU
See details
◂ favors CMUfavors WMU ▸Market: WMU -6.0
WMU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
WMU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 CMU1 WMU2 CMU2 WMUModel: WMU -4.7

Betting information

Spread
WMU -6.0
Total
43.5
Odds implied score
CMU 18.8 – 24.8 WMU
Prediction markets
WMU 67% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Western Michigan defeated Central Michigan 24–21 in a nail-biter. Central Michigan covered by 3.0; Game went Over by 1.5. The market closed at Western Michigan -6.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Western Michigan -4.7, an edge of 1.3 points toward Central Michigan.

What were the weather conditions for Central Michigan vs Western Michigan?

At kickoff, conditions at Waldo Stadium were Patchy rain possible, 44°F, wind chill 43°F with winds of 5 mph. There is a 100% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Central Michigan travels 99 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Western Michigan won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Central Michigan covered the spread.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

How do Central Michigan and Western Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Western Michigan (-6.5) over Central Michigan (-8.7) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Western Michigan brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Central Michigan and Western Michigan?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Western Michigan won and Central Michigan covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Patchy rain possible

44°F

Rain100%
Precip0.00"
Humidity87%
Wind5 mph W
Gusts9 mph
Wind chill43°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Central Michigan at Western Michigan: aerial view of Waldo Stadium, wind from the W at 4.5 mph, gusting to 8.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
04:00 PM EDT
Venue
Waldo Stadium
Capacity
36,361
Elevation
807 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Central MichiganAway Western MichiganHome
This week99 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game392 miles
Season total5,737 miles2,267 miles
Body clock16:0016:00
Rest7 days7 days

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