Week 10 • November 01, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
5-3
MAC
Power Rank: -8.7
21 FINAL 24
4-4
MAC
Power Rank: -6.5
Central Michigan covered by 1.5 | Game went Over by 4.5

Western Michigan defeated Central Michigan 24–21 in a nail-biter.

Central Michigan @ Western Michigan Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Waldo Stadium
Capacity: 36,361
Elevation: 807 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Western Michigan -4.5
Total (O/U) 40.5
Expected Score CMU 18.0 - 22.5 WMU
Power Rank Implied Line Western Michigan +2.2
Prediction Markets Western Michigan 67% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

19.1°F

Wind Chill: 8.2°F
Wind: 9.4 mph NW
Gusts: 16.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.04"
Humidity: 91%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Central Michigan (Away)

This Week: 98.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5736.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 7

Western Michigan (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 392.5 miles
Season Total: 2528.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Western Michigan -4.5
Total Points 40.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Central Michigan -8.7
Western Michigan -6.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 99 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Waldo Stadium
Capacity 36,361
Elevation 807 ft
Weather: Mist
Temperature 19.1°F
Wind Speed 9.4 mph
Your Line Western Michigan +2.2
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Central Michigan vs Western Michigan?

Central Michigan: Key Factors

Western Michigan: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Central Michigan travels 99 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Western Michigan won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Central Michigan covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Over by 4.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Waldo Stadium?

At 19.1°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 62%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Central Michigan and Western Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Western Michigan (-6.5) over Central Michigan (-8.7) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Western Michigan brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Western Michigan won and Central Michigan covered the spread.