14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl • December 30, 2025, 10:30 PM UTC
Tennessee @ Illinois
0-0
SEC
Power Rank: 20.8
28 FINAL 30
0-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 16.8

By · Last updated

Illinois defeated Tennessee 30–28 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Tennessee 4.0 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:30 PM CST
Stadium: Nissan Stadium
Capacity: 69,143
Elevation: 0 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Tennessee +4.0
Prediction Markets Tennessee 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather

Weather data not available

Travel & Rest

Tennessee (Away)

This Week: 160.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2861.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:30
Rest Days: 31

Illinois (Home)

This Week: 282.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5766.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 31

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line —
Total Points —
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Tennessee 20.8
Illinois 16.8
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 160 mi
Home Team Travel 283 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Nissan Stadium
Capacity 69,143
Elevation 0 ft
Weather
Temperature —°F
Wind Speed — mph
Your Line Illinois -4.0
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Tennessee vs Illinois?

Tennessee: Key Factors

Illinois: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Tennessee travels 160 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Tennessee arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Illinois won by 2 in a nail-biter.

How do Tennessee and Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Tennessee (20.8) over Illinois (16.8) by 4.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Illinois faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tennessee and Illinois?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Illinois won this game.