TaxSlayer Gator BowlDecember 28, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
13
10-3
ACC
Power Rank: 14.0
@
FINAL
7
8-4
SEC
Power Rank: 18.0

By · Last updated

Virginia defeated Missouri 13–7 in a closely contested finish. Virginia covered by 10.0; Game went Under by 23.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Missouri 4.0 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EST
Stadium: EverBank Stadium
Capacity: 67,814
Elevation: 20 ft
HFA Rating: 0.0
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Missouri -4.0
Total (O/U) 43.5
Odds Implied Score UVA 19.8 - 23.8 MIZ
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri -4.0
Prediction Markets Missouri 63% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Virginia @ Missouri Preview

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Virginia
Missouri
Home field: EverBank Stadium
Weather: Partly cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Virginia vs Missouri?

At kick-off, conditions at EverBank Stadium were Partly cloudy, 67.8°F, Feels Like 67.8°F with winds of 2.7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: December 28, 2025
Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

67.8°F

Feels Like: 67.8°F
Wind: 2.7 mph W
Gusts: 5.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 88%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Virginia (Away)

This Week: 560.5 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 7440.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 21

Missouri (Home)

This Week: 849.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3939.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 29

What happened in the game?

Virginia travels 560 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Virginia won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Virginia covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 23.5 points.

How do Virginia and Missouri compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri (18.0) over Virginia (14.0) by 4.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Virginia won and Virginia covered the spread.