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TaxSlayer Gator Bowl •
EverBank StadiumNeutral site

Virginia13 @FINAL 7Missouri

10-3 ACC Power rating: 14.0
8-4 SEC Power rating: 18.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MIZ -4.0
PM Implied
MIZ -3.1
Blue Chip model
MIZ -4.0
Edge
0.0no edge
See details
◂ favors UVAfavors MIZ ▸Market: MIZ -4.0
4.0 › MIZ
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UVA1 MIZ2 UVA2 MIZModel: MIZ -4.0

Betting information

Spread
MIZ -4.0
Total
43.5
Odds implied score
UVA 19.8 – 23.8 MIZ
Prediction markets
MIZ 63% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Virginia defeated Missouri 13–7 in a closely contested finish. Virginia covered by 10.0; Game went Under by 23.5. The market closed at Missouri -4.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Missouri -4.0. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Missouri 4.0 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Virginia vs Missouri?

At kickoff, conditions at EverBank Stadium were Partly cloudy, 68°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Virginia travels 560 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Virginia won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Virginia covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 23.5 points.

How do Virginia and Missouri compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri (18.0) over Virginia (14.0) by 4.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Virginia and Missouri?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Virginia won and Virginia covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 28, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity88%
Wind3 mph W
Gusts5 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Virginia at Missouri: aerial view of EverBank Stadium, wind from the W at 2.7 mph, gusting to 5.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
EverBank Stadium
Capacity
67,814
Elevation
20 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

VirginiaAway MissouriHome
This week560 miles850 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total7,440 miles3,939 miles
Body clock19:3018:30
Rest21 days29 days

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