Week 8
Scott Stadium

Washington State20 @FINAL 22Virginia , Week 8, Oct 18, 2025

3-3 Pac-12 Power rating: -0.6
5-1 ACC Power rating: 11.3

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UVA -16.5
PM Implied
UVA -12.4
Blue Chip model
UVA -15.0
Edge
-1.5WSU
See details
◂ favors WSUfavors UVA ▸Market: UVA -16.5
11.9 › UVA
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1 WSU1 UVA2 WSU2 UVAModel: UVA -15.0

Betting information

Spread
UVA -16.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
WSU 20.0 – 36.5 UVA
Prediction markets
UVA 88% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Virginia defeated Washington State 22–20 in a nail-biter. Washington State covered by 14.5; Game went Under by 14.5. The market closed at Virginia -16.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Virginia -15.0, an edge of 1.5 points toward Washington State.

What are the key factors for Washington State vs Virginia?

Washington State

Fourth Quarter Collapse

Washington State led 20-10 entering the fourth quarter but allowed Virginia to score 12 unanswered points, including a game-winning safety, highlighting an inability to close out games.

Turnover Troubles

Quarterback Zevi Eckhaus threw two interceptions, which stalled drives and gave Virginia opportunities to rally, underscoring a need for better ball security.

Strong First Half Performance

The Cougars outgained Virginia 318-175 through three quarters and led 17-7 at halftime, showing they can compete with ranked opponents when executing well.

Time of Possession Shift

Washington State dominated time of possession in the first three quarters but lost control in the fourth, as Virginia held the ball for 10:36 of the final 15 minutes, flipping the game's momentum.

Road Woes Continue

For the second straight week, Washington State traveled across the country and lost to a ranked opponent, falling to 3-4 and needing to regroup for a home game against Toledo.

What were the weather conditions for Washington State vs Virginia?

At kickoff, conditions at Scott Stadium were Clear, 59°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Washington State travels 2,044 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.

Virginia won by 2 in a nail-biter.

Washington State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 14.5 points.

How do Washington State and Virginia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Virginia (11.3) over Washington State (-0.6) by 11.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Virginia brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Virginia won and Washington State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Clear

59°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind1 mph S
Gusts2 mph
Wind map for Washington State at Virginia: aerial view of Scott Stadium, wind from the S at 0.9 mph, gusting to 1.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM EDT
Venue
Scott Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
545 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Washington StateAway VirginiaHome
This week2,044 miles0 miles
Last week3,346 milesBye week
Season total9,679 miles1,098 miles
Body clock15:3018:30
Rest7 days14 days