Week 8 •
Kidd Brewer Stadium

Coastal Carolina45 @FINAL 37App State , Week 8, Oct 18, 2025

3-3 Sun Belt Power rating: -11.0
4-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -8.5

How did the line hold up?

Market line
APP -10.5
PM Implied
APP -8.3
Blue Chip model
APP -5.9
Edge
-4.6CCU
See details
◂ favors CCUfavors APP ▸Market: APP -10.5
APP
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APP
no impact
no impact
APP
no impact
2 CCU2 APP4 CCU4 APPModel: APP -5.9

Betting information

Spread
APP -10.5
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
CCU 19.0 – 29.5 APP
Prediction markets
APP 79% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Coastal Carolina defeated App State 45–37 in a one-score game. Coastal Carolina covered by 18.5; Game went Over by 33.5. The market closed at App State -10.5 and the Blue Chip model made it App State -5.9 - a gap of 4.6 points toward Coastal Carolina, of which 3.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Coastal Carolina vs App State?

At kickoff, conditions at Kidd Brewer Stadium were Cloudy, 62°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Coastal Carolina travels 225 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Coastal Carolina won by 8 in a one-score game.

Coastal Carolina covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 33.5 points.

How do Coastal Carolina and App State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor App State (-8.5) over Coastal Carolina (-11.0) by 2.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. App State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Coastal Carolina won and Coastal Carolina covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

62°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity81%
Wind3 mph SSE
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Coastal Carolina at App State: aerial view of Kidd Brewer Stadium, wind from the SSE at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Kidd Brewer Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
3,301 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Coastal CarolinaAway App StateHome
This week225 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game459 miles
Season total2,493 miles5,508 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days