Week 7 • October 12, 2025, 01:45 AM UTC
3-2
MW
Power Rank: -2.6
25 FINAL 41
3-2
MW
Power Rank: 8.4
New Mexico covered by 0.5 | Game went Over by 4.5

Boise State defeated New Mexico 41–25 in a double-digit victory.

New Mexico @ Boise State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:45 PM MDT
Stadium: Albertsons Stadium
Capacity: 36,387
Elevation: 2723 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Boise State -16.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Expected Score UNM 22.5 - 39.0 BOIS
Power Rank Implied Line Boise State +11.0
Prediction Markets Boise State 87% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

37.3°F

Wind Chill: 36.7°F
Wind: 2.0 mph SE
Gusts: 4.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 58%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

New Mexico (Away)

This Week: 779.6 miles
Last Week: 1729.5 miles
Season Total: 6485.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:45
Rest Days: 8

Boise State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3048.1 miles
Season Total: 8700.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:45
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Boise State -16.5
Total Points 61.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
New Mexico -2.6
Boise State 8.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 780 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Albertsons Stadium
Capacity 36,387
Elevation 2723 ft
Weather: Overcast
Temperature 37.3°F
Wind Speed 2.0 mph
Your Line Boise State +11.0
Implied Value

What are the key factors for New Mexico vs Boise State?

New Mexico: Key Factors

Boise State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

New Mexico travels 780 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Boise State won by 16 in a double-digit victory.

New Mexico covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Over by 4.5 points.

How do New Mexico and Boise State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Boise State (8.4) over New Mexico (-2.6) by 11.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Boise State won and New Mexico covered the spread.