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Week 7 •
Albertsons Stadium

New Mexico25 @FINAL 41Boise State

3-2 MW Power rating: -2.6
3-2 MW Power rating: 8.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BOIS -14.5
PM Implied
BOIS -11.4
Blue Chip model
BOIS -13.8
Edge
-0.7UNM
See details
◂ favors UNMfavors BOIS ▸Market: BOIS -14.5
11.0 › BOIS
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BOIS
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UNM1 BOIS2 UNM2 BOIS3 UNM3 BOISModel: BOIS -13.8

Betting information

Spread
BOIS -14.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
UNM 22.0 – 36.5 BOIS
Prediction markets
BOIS 87% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Boise State defeated New Mexico 41–25 in a double-digit victory. Boise State covered by 1.5; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at Boise State -14.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Boise State -13.8. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for New Mexico vs Boise State?

At kickoff, conditions at Albertsons Stadium were Cloudy, 42°F, wind chill 40°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

New Mexico travels 780 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Boise State won by 16 in a double-digit victory.

Boise State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do New Mexico and Boise State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Boise State (8.4) over New Mexico (-2.6) by 11.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Mexico and Boise State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Boise State won and Boise State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 12, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

42°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity60%
Wind8 mph W
Gusts11 mph
Wind chill40°F
Wind map for New Mexico at Boise State: aerial view of Albertsons Stadium, wind from the W at 7.6 mph, gusting to 10.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
07:45 PM MDT
Venue
Albertsons Stadium
Capacity
36,387
Elevation
2,723 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

New MexicoAway Boise StateHome
This week780 miles0 miles
Last week1,730 miles3,048 miles
Season total6,485 miles8,701 miles
Body clock19:4519:45
Rest8 days8 days

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