DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
TCU defeated Colorado 35–21 in a double-digit victory. TCU covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 1.5. The market closed at TCU -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it TCU -18.0 - a gap of 4.5 points toward TCU, of which 3.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Colorado took a 14-0 lead but allowed TCU to tie the game before halftime and eventually lost 35-21. This marks the second consecutive game where the Buffaloes squandered a two-touchdown advantage, indicating a pattern of second-half struggles.
Quarterback Kaidon Salter threw three interceptions in the first half, including one on the first play of the game and another at the goal line just before halftime. The team finished with four turnovers, which directly led to TCU points and prevented Colorado from regaining momentum.
Despite leading 14-0, Colorado failed to maintain its advantage, and the defense allowed TCU to score 21 unanswered points in the second half. Coach Deion Sanders expressed frustration, stating the team is 'beating themselves' and has ample opportunities to win but fails to execute.
Salter threw for 217 yards and two touchdowns to Omarion Miller, and also ran for a score. However, the three interceptions and overall offensive inconsistency undermined the team's potential, especially in critical moments.
Colorado (2-4, 0-3 Big 12) will host a ranked Iowa State team (5-1, 2-1) next Saturday. The Buffaloes must address their turnover problem and second-half collapses to compete against a strong opponent.
TCU overcame a 14-0 deficit to win 35-21, marking the first time since at least 2000 they won by 14+ points after trailing by 14+. This shows strong mental toughness and ability to adjust under pressure.
After a poor outing against Arizona State (2 INTs, 0 TDs), Hoover bounced back with 4 passing TDs and 1 rushing TD, completing 23 of 33 passes for 275 yards. His consistency is key for TCU's offense moving forward.
McAlister returned from a hamstring injury to catch 4 passes for 65 yards and 2 TDs, including a crucial 21-yard score on fourth down. His deep threat ability adds a vital dimension to the passing game.
TCU's defense forced 4 turnovers, including 3 interceptions by halftime. The final pick at the goal line before halftime prevented Colorado from taking the lead, showcasing the defense's ability to make game-changing plays.
TCU (4-1, 1-1 Big 12) travels to face Kansas State (2-4, 1-2) on Saturday. K-State has struggled but is always tough at home, so TCU must maintain offensive efficiency and defensive discipline to secure a road win.
At kickoff, conditions at Amon G. Carter Stadium were Clear, 75°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 22 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
75°F
| Measure | ColoradoAway | TCUHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 668 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,692 miles |
| Season total | 2,477 miles | 3,830 miles |
| Body clock | 17:30 | 18:30 |
| Rest | 6 days | 7 days |
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