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Week 3 • September 13, 2025, 01:00 AM UTC
Kansas State @ Arizona
1-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 8.8
17 FINAL 23
2-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.5
Arizona covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 14.5

By · Last updated

Arizona defeated Kansas State 23–17 in a closely contested finish.

Kansas State @ Arizona Preview

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM MST
Stadium: Arizona Stadium
Capacity: 50,782
Elevation: 2438 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Arizona -2.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score KSU 26.0 - 28.5 ARIZ
Power Rank Implied Line Arizona +0.7
Prediction Markets Kansas State 53% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

56.3°F

Wind Chill: 54.6°F
Wind: 7.4 mph E
Gusts: 15.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 34%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Kansas State (Away)

This Week: 937.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 9213.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 7

Arizona (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 201.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 6

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Arizona -2.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Kansas State 8.8
Arizona 9.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 938 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Kansas State +1
HFA: Arizona Stadium
Capacity 50,782
Elevation 2438 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 56.3°F
Wind Speed 7.4 mph
Your Line Arizona +0.7
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Kansas State vs Arizona?

Kansas State: Key Factors

Arizona: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Kansas State travels 938 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Kansas State arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Arizona won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Arizona covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 14.5 points.

How do Kansas State and Arizona compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arizona (9.5) over Kansas State (8.8) by 0.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arizona brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Kansas State and Arizona?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Arizona won and Arizona covered the spread.