Week 11
Reser Stadium

Sam Houston21 @FINAL 17Oregon State , Week 11, Nov 9, 2025

0-8 CUSA Power rating: -19.8
2-7 Pac-12 Power rating: -7.1

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ORST -21.0
PM Implied
ORST -14.4
Blue Chip model
ORST -17.3
Edge
-3.7SHSU
See details
◂ favors SHSUfavors ORST ▸Market: ORST -21.0
12.7 › ORST
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ORST
no impact
ORST
no impact
no impact
2 SHSU2 ORST4 SHSU4 ORSTModel: ORST -17.3

Betting information

Spread
ORST -21.0
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
SHSU 15.8 – 36.8 ORST
Prediction markets
ORST 92% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Sam Houston defeated Oregon State 21–17 in a closely contested finish. Sam Houston covered by 25.0; Game went Under by 14.5. The market closed at Oregon State -21.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Oregon State -17.3, an edge of 3.7 points toward Sam Houston. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Oregon State 12.7 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Sam Houston vs Oregon State?

At kickoff, conditions at Reser Stadium were Partly cloudy, 44°F, wind chill 41°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Sam Houston travels 1,783 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Sam Houston won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Sam Houston covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 14.5 points.

How do Sam Houston and Oregon State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Oregon State (-7.1) over Sam Houston (-19.8) by 12.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Oregon State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Sam Houston won and Sam Houston covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 9, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

44°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity89%
Wind4 mph N
Gusts8 mph
Wind chill41°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Sam Houston at Oregon State: aerial view of Reser Stadium, wind from the N at 3.6 mph, gusting to 7.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM PST
Venue
Reser Stadium
Capacity
35,548
Elevation
233 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Sam HoustonAway Oregon StateHome
This week1,783 miles0 miles
Last week423 milesHome game
Season total12,928 miles7,300 miles
Body clock21:0019:00
Rest8 days8 days