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Week 7 •
Allen E. Paulson Stadium

Southern Miss38 @FINAL 35Georgia Southern

3-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -5.3
2-3 Sun Belt Power rating: -9.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USM -3.0
PM Implied
USM -2.5
Blue Chip model
USM -0.1
Edge
+2.9GASO
See details
◂ favors USMfavors GASO ▸Market: USM -3.0
USM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
GASO
no impact
no impact
no impact
GASO
2 USM2 GASO4 USM4 GASOModel: USM -0.1

Betting information

Spread
USM -3.0
Total
59.5
Odds implied score
USM 31.3 – 28.3 GASO
Prediction markets
USM 60% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Southern Miss defeated Georgia Southern 38–35 in a nail-biter. Push covered by 0.0; Game went Over by 13.5. The market closed at Southern Miss -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Southern Miss -0.1, an edge of 2.9 points toward Georgia Southern.

What were the weather conditions for Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern?

At kickoff, conditions at Allen E. Paulson Stadium were Overcast, 64°F with winds of 12 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Southern Miss travels 450 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Southern Miss arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Southern Miss won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Push covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 13.5 points.

How do Southern Miss and Georgia Southern compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Southern Miss (-5.3) over Georgia Southern (-9.1) by 3.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Georgia Southern faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Georgia Southern brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Southern Miss and Georgia Southern?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Southern Miss won and Push covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 10, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

64°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity54%
Wind12 mph NE
Gusts19 mph
Wind map for Southern Miss at Georgia Southern: aerial view of Allen E. Paulson Stadium, wind from the NE at 11.6 mph, gusting to 19.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM EDT
Venue
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Capacity
25,000
Elevation
230 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Southern MissAway Georgia SouthernHome
This week450 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total874 miles9,448 miles
Body clock19:0020:00
Rest13 days13 days

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