Nebraska defeated Michigan State 38–27 in a double-digit victory. Michigan State covered by 1.5; Game went Over by 16.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) were Clear, 76.5°F, Feels Like 79.3°F with winds of 20.1 mph. Wind of 20.1 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 32.2 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
76.5°F
Michigan State travels 644 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Michigan State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Nebraska won by 11 in a double-digit victory.
Michigan State covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Over by 16.5 points.
Wind of 20.1 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff.
Gusts reaching 32.2 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Nebraska (12.1) over Michigan State (2.6) by 9.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Nebraska brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Nebraska won and Michigan State covered the spread.
