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Cheez-It Citrus Bowl •
Camping World StadiumNeutral site

Michigan27 @FINAL 41Texas

9-3 Big Ten Power rating: 18.0
9-3 SEC Power rating: 23.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TEX -4.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TEX -5.6
Edge
+1.1TEX
See details
◂ favors MICHfavors TEX ▸Market: TEX -4.5
5.6 › TEX
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 MICH1 TEX2 MICH2 TEXModel: TEX -5.6

Betting information

Spread
TEX -4.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
MICH 23.0 – 27.5 TEX

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas defeated Michigan 41–27 in a double-digit victory. Texas covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 17.5. The market closed at Texas -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas -5.6, an edge of 1.1 points toward Texas.

What were the weather conditions for Michigan vs Texas?

At kickoff, conditions at Camping World Stadium were Clear, 53°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Michigan travels 955 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Texas won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Texas covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 17.5 points.

How do Michigan and Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas (23.6) over Michigan (18.0) by 5.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Michigan and Texas?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas won and Texas covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 31, 2025 Game-time

Clear

53°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity31%
Wind8 mph W
Gusts14 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Michigan at Texas: aerial view of Camping World Stadium, wind from the W at 7.8 mph, gusting to 13.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM EST
Venue
Camping World Stadium
Capacity
60,219
Elevation
102 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

MichiganAway TexasHome
This week955 miles991 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total9,330 miles10,078 miles
Body clock15:0014:00
Rest32 days32 days

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