Cal Poly defeated Sacramento State 32–24 in a one-score game. Cal Poly covered by 26.0; Game went Under by 1.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Sacramento State 10.0 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Hornet Stadium were Cloudy, 60.3°F, Feels Like 60.3°F with winds of 12.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
60.3°F
Cal Poly travels 229 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Cal Poly won by 8 in a one-score game.
Cal Poly covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Under by 1.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Sacramento State (-18.0) over Cal Poly (-28.0) by 10.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Sacramento State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Cal Poly won and Cal Poly covered the spread.
