East Carolina defeated Pittsburgh 23–17 in a closely contested finish. East Carolina covered by 18.5; Game went Under by 11.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Pittsburgh 5.1 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium were Overcast, 35.1°F, Wind Chill 26.6°F with winds of 12.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
35.1°F
Pittsburgh travels 212 miles to this game, a short road trip.
East Carolina won by 6 in a closely contested finish.
East Carolina covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Under by 11.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Pittsburgh (13.3) over East Carolina (8.2) by 5.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, East Carolina faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. East Carolina brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
East Carolina won and East Carolina covered the spread.
