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Go Bowling Military Bowl •
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial StadiumNeutral site

Pittsburgh17 @FINAL 23East Carolina

8-4 ACC Power rating: 13.3
8-4 American Power rating: 8.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
PITT -12.5
PM Implied
PITT -7.7
Blue Chip model
PITT -4.8
Edge
+7.7ECU
See details
◂ favors PITTfavors ECU ▸Market: PITT -12.5
PITT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
no impact
no impact
ECU
5 PITT5 ECUModel: PITT -4.8

Betting information

Spread
PITT -12.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
PITT 32.0 – 19.5 ECU
Prediction markets
PITT 78% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

East Carolina defeated Pittsburgh 23–17 in a closely contested finish. East Carolina covered by 18.5; Game went Under by 11.5. The market closed at Pittsburgh -12.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Pittsburgh -4.8 - a gap of 7.7 points toward East Carolina, of which 7.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Pittsburgh 5.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Pittsburgh vs East Carolina?

At kickoff, conditions at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium were Overcast, 35°F, wind chill 27°F with winds of 13 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Pittsburgh travels 212 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

East Carolina won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

East Carolina covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 11.5 points.

How do Pittsburgh and East Carolina compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Pittsburgh (13.3) over East Carolina (8.2) by 5.1 points on a neutral field. East Carolina faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Pittsburgh and East Carolina?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

East Carolina won and East Carolina covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 27, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

35°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity85%
Wind13 mph NNE
Gusts17 mph
Wind chill27°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Pittsburgh at East Carolina: aerial view of Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, wind from the NNE at 12.5 mph, gusting to 16.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM EST
Venue
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Capacity
34,000
Elevation
39 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

PittsburghAway East CarolinaHome
This week212 miles238 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total7,878 miles6,934 miles
Body clock11:0011:00
Rest28 days28 days

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