Week 7
Tiger Stadium (LA)

South Carolina10 @FINAL 20LSU , Week 7, Oct 11, 2025

3-2 SEC Power rating: 9.3
4-1 SEC Power rating: 15.1

How did the line hold up?

Market line
LSU -8.5
PM Implied
LSU -7.2
Blue Chip model
LSU -9.1
Edge
+0.6LSU
See details
◂ favors SCfavors LSU ▸Market: LSU -8.5
5.8 › LSU
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1 SC1 LSU2 SC2 LSU3 SC3 LSUModel: LSU -9.1

Betting information

Spread
LSU -8.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
SC 18.0 – 26.5 LSU
Prediction markets
LSU 76% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

LSU defeated South Carolina 20–10 in a double-digit victory. LSU covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 14.5. The market closed at LSU -8.5 and the Blue Chip model made it LSU -9.1. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for South Carolina vs LSU?

South Carolina

Offensive Struggles in Passing Game

Quarterback LaNorris Sellers struggled with passing, completing only 124 yards with an interception and taking five sacks. Two drives into LSU territory were stunted by intentional grounding penalties, highlighting a persistent issue in the passing game.

Strong Rushing Performance but Missed Opportunities

South Carolina rushed for 193 yards, including a 72-yard touchdown run by Matt Fuller, but failed to capitalize on six drives into LSU territory, resulting in only 10 points. Missed field goal, punts, and a turnover on downs cost them the game.

Defensive Resilience and Turnover Win

The defense forced two turnovers at the LSU goal line, including a fumble recovery in the end zone, and won the turnover battle. However, they could not contain LSU's tight end Trey'Dez Green, who had 119 yards and a touchdown.

Controversial Penalty Impact

A controversial penalty nullified a successful fake punt in the third quarter, which coach Shane Beamer vehemently disputed. This call potentially shifted momentum and contributed to the loss.

Next Week: Host Oklahoma

South Carolina (3-3, 1-3 SEC) will host Oklahoma next Saturday. To improve, they must address passing game consistency and capitalize on scoring opportunities, especially against a strong opponent.

What were the weather conditions for South Carolina vs LSU?

At kickoff, conditions at Tiger Stadium (LA) were Clear, 71°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

South Carolina travels 644 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

South Carolina arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

LSU won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

LSU covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 14.5 points.

How do South Carolina and LSU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor LSU (15.1) over South Carolina (9.3) by 5.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. LSU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

LSU won and LSU covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 11, 2025 Game-time

Clear

71°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity78%
Wind4 mph E
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for South Carolina at LSU: aerial view of Tiger Stadium (LA), wind from the E at 3.8 mph, gusting to 8.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
06:45 PM CDT
Venue
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Capacity
102,321
Elevation
56 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure South CarolinaAway LSUHome
This week644 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total2,466 miles1,714 miles
Body clock19:4518:45
Rest14 days14 days