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Week 4 •
Hornet Stadium

Central Arkansas16 @FINAL 45Sacramento State

0-0 UAC Power rating: -30.8
1-2 Big Sky Power rating: -18.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SAC -15.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SAC -16.2
Edge
+0.7SAC
See details
◂ favors CARKfavors SAC ▸Market: SAC -15.5
12.8 › SAC
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SAC
no impact
SAC
no impact
no impact
1 CARK1 SAC2 CARK2 SACModel: SAC -16.2

Betting information

Spread
SAC -15.5
Total
59.5
Odds implied score
CARK 22.0 – 37.5 SAC

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Sacramento State defeated Central Arkansas 45–16 in a dominant performance. Sacramento State covered by 13.5; Game went Over by 1.5. The market closed at Sacramento State -15.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Sacramento State -16.2. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Central Arkansas vs Sacramento State?

At kickoff, conditions at Hornet Stadium were Clear, 63°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Central Arkansas travels 1,617 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Sacramento State won by 29 in a dominant performance.

Sacramento State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

How do Central Arkansas and Sacramento State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Sacramento State (-18.0) over Central Arkansas (-30.8) by 12.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Sacramento State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Central Arkansas and Sacramento State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Sacramento State won and Sacramento State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 21, 2025 Game-time

Clear

63°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity81%
Wind7 mph S
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for Central Arkansas at Sacramento State: aerial view of Hornet Stadium, wind from the S at 6.5 mph, gusting to 11.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM PDT
Venue
Hornet Stadium
Capacity
21,195
Elevation
49 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

Central ArkansasAway Sacramento StateHome
This week1,617 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total2,149 miles2,889 miles
Body clock20:0018:00
Rest8 days7 days

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