Sacramento State defeated Idaho 23–20 in a nail-biter. Idaho covered by 4.0; Game went Under by 16.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Hornet Stadium were Moderate rain, 55.2°F, Wind Chill 51.6°F with winds of 10.5 mph. Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
55.2°F
Idaho travels 607 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Sacramento State won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Idaho covered the spread.
The total went Under by 16.5 points.
Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Idaho (-17.5) over Sacramento State (-18.0) by 0.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sacramento State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sacramento State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Sacramento State won and Idaho covered the spread.
