15 Final 10 26 Final 42 8 Final 34 7 Final 33 17 Final 28 17 Final 34 27 Final 37 27 Final 21
Week 1 •
Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium

Sacramento State3 @FINAL 20South Dakota State

0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -18.0
0-0 MVFC Power rating: 1.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SD St -11.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SD St -21.8
Edge
+10.3SD St
See details
◂ favors SACfavors SD St ▸Market: SD St -11.5
19.0 › SD St
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SD St
no impact
SD St
no impact
no impact
5 SAC5 SD St10 SAC10 SD StModel: SD St -21.8

Betting information

Spread
SD St -11.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
SAC 23.0 – 34.5 SD St

ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026

South Dakota State defeated Sacramento State 20–3 to secure a comfortable win. South Dakota State covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 34.5. The market closed at South Dakota State -11.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Dakota State -21.8 - a gap of 10.3 points toward South Dakota State, of which 9.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What happened in the game?

Sacramento State travels 1,334 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Sacramento State arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

South Dakota State won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

South Dakota State covered the spread.

The total went Under by 34.5 points.

How do Sacramento State and South Dakota State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Dakota State (1.0) over Sacramento State (-18.0) by 19.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Dakota State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Sacramento State and South Dakota State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

South Dakota State won and South Dakota State covered the spread.

Conditions

No weather data is available for this game yet.

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium
Capacity
19,340
Elevation
1,621 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Sacramento StateAway South Dakota StateHome
This week1,334 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total1,334 miles0 miles
Body clock16:0018:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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