Week 4
Sun Bowl

Oregon State @ UTEP , Week 4, Sep 27, 2026

0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -9.5
0-0 MW Power rating: -20.8

Is there value in the Oregon State vs UTEP line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ORST -7.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ORSTfavors UTEP ▸
‹ 11.3 ORST
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UTEP
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1 ORST1 UTEP2 ORST2 UTEPModel: ORST -7.7

Oregon State (power rating: -9.5) carries a 11.3-point advantage over UTEP (-20.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UTEP's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Sun Bowl. Beyond home field, the model charges the heat, with a slighter reading for Oregon State's trip and the altitude. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Oregon State vs UTEP at Sun Bowl?

The latest reading for Sun Bowl shows Partly Cloudy, 91°F, heat index 88°F with winds of 13 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Oregon State and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Oregon State (-9.5) over UTEP (-20.8) by 11.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UTEP faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Oregon State -7.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

91°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity23%
Wind13 mph E
Gusts20 mph
Heat index88°F
Wind map for Oregon State at UTEP: aerial view of Sun Bowl, wind from the E at 13 mph, gusting to 20.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM MDT
Venue
Sun Bowl
Capacity
51,500
Elevation
3,904 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Oregon StateAway UTEPHome
This week1,265 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,890 miles
Season total4,937 miles4,038 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest7 days8 days

Oregon State travels 1,265 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Oregon State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.