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Week 10 •
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee

0-0 CUSA Power rating: -5.5
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -20.2

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
WKU -12.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors WKUfavors MTSU ▸
‹ 14.7 WKU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MTSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
MTSU
1 WKU1 MTSU2 WKU2 MTSUModel: WKU -12.2

Western Kentucky (power rating: -5.5) carries a 14.7-point advantage over Middle Tennessee (-20.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Middle Tennessee's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3) narrows that gap at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium?

The latest reading for Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium shows Cloudy, 80°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Western Kentucky (-5.5) over Middle Tennessee (-20.2) by 14.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Middle Tennessee faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Middle Tennessee brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Western Kentucky -12.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Cloudy

80°F

Rain7%
Precip0.00"
Humidity66%
Wind4 mph ESE
Gusts15 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee: aerial view of Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, wind from the ESE at 3.6 mph, gusting to 14.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CST
Venue
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Capacity
27,303
Elevation
656 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Western KentuckyAway Middle TennesseeHome
This week78 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total8,300 miles3,479 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest11 days10 days

Western Kentucky travels 78 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

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