Week 10
Pitbull Stadium

Missouri State @ Florida International , Week 10, Nov 7, 2026

0-0 CUSA Power rating: -15.7
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -12.7

Is there value in the Missouri State vs Florida International line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
FIU -5.7
Edge
No line posted
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◂ favors MOSTfavors FIU ▸
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1 MOST1 FIU2 MOST2 FIUModel: FIU -5.7

Florida International (power rating: -12.7) holds a 3.0-point advantage over Missouri State (-15.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Florida International's home field adds 2.2 points to that advantage at Pitbull Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges the heat, with a slighter reading for Missouri State's extra rest and Missouri State's trip. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Missouri State vs Florida International at Pitbull Stadium?

The latest reading for Pitbull Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 86°F, heat index 94°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Missouri State and Florida International compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida International (-12.7) over Missouri State (-15.7) by 3.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida International brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Florida International -5.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

86°F

Rain15%
Precip0.00"
Humidity68%
Wind11 mph ESE
Gusts11 mph
Heat index94°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Missouri State at Florida International: aerial view of Pitbull Stadium, wind from the ESE at 10.7 mph, gusting to 11.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
04:00 PM EST
Venue
Pitbull Stadium
Capacity
20,000
Elevation
30 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Missouri StateAway Florida InternationalHome
This week1,094 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,605 miles
Season total5,472 miles3,386 miles
Body clock15:0016:00
Rest10 days7 days

Missouri State travels 1,094 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Missouri State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.