Week 10
Carter-Finley Stadium

Duke @ NC State , Week 10, Nov 7, 2026

0-0 ACC Power rating: 5.2
0-1 ACC Power rating: 6.5

Is there value in the Duke vs NC State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NCSU -4.9
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors DUKEfavors NCSU ▸
NCSU
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1 DUKE1 NCSU2 DUKE2 NCSU3 DUKE3 NCSUModel: NCSU -4.9

NC State (power rating: 6.5) holds a 1.3-point advantage over Duke (5.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. NC State's home field adds 3.4 points to that advantage at Carter-Finley Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Duke vs NC State at Carter-Finley Stadium?

The latest reading for Carter-Finley Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 81°F, heat index 86°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Duke and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor NC State (6.5) over Duke (5.2) by 1.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. NC State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this NC State -4.9. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

81°F

Rain27%
Precip0.00"
Humidity75%
Wind3 mph WNW
Gusts3 mph
Heat index86°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Duke at NC State: aerial view of Carter-Finley Stadium, wind from the WNW at 2.5 mph, gusting to 3.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Carter-Finley Stadium
Capacity
56,919
Elevation
410 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure DukeAway NC StateHome
This week18 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total2,154 miles6,008 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Duke travels 18 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.