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Week 10 •
Carter-Finley Stadium

Duke @ NC State

4-1 ACC Power rating: 7.2
3-3 ACC Power rating: 1.6

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Duke vs NC State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
DUKE -2.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors DUKEfavors NCSU ▸
‹ 5.6 DUKE
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NCSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 DUKE1 NCSU2 DUKE2 NCSU3 DUKE3 NCSUModel: DUKE -2.2

Duke (power rating: 7.2) carries a 5.6-point advantage over NC State (1.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. NC State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4) narrows that gap at Carter-Finley Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Duke vs NC State at Carter-Finley Stadium?

The latest reading for Carter-Finley Stadium shows Clear, 51°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Duke and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Duke (7.2) over NC State (1.6) by 5.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, NC State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. NC State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Duke and NC State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Duke -2.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

51°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind6 mph ESE
Gusts18 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Duke at NC State: aerial view of Carter-Finley Stadium, wind from the ESE at 6 mph, gusting to 18.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Carter-Finley Stadium
Capacity
56,919
Elevation
410 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

DukeAway NC StateHome
This week18 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total2,154 miles6,008 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Duke travels 18 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

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