College Football Week 6 - 2026

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Week 6 of the 2026 season features 58 FBS games. Hawai'i carries the week's biggest travel burden at 2,916 miles more than its opponent. UTSA posts the week's top HFA at 3.8 points. Analysts focused on travel and venue edges will find the ranked sections below most actionable; casual viewers can use the at-a-glance table to scan results. See detailed weather forecasts for every game this week.

Date Away @ Home Away Power Home Power HFA Power Line Line O/U Line Implied Score
Oct 6
7:00 PM
Southern Miss @ Troy -15.7 -7.1 1.8 Troy -10.4 - - -
Oct 7
7:00 PM
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State -7.5 -11.1 2.5 Jacksonville State -1.1 - - -
Oct 7
7:30 PM
New Mexico State @ Florida International -18.1 -12.7 2.2 Florida International -7.6 - - -
Oct 8
6:00 PM
Missouri State @ Western Kentucky -15.7 -5.5 2.6 Western Kentucky -12.8 - - -
Oct 8
7:00 PM
Sam Houston @ Liberty -24.1 -7.9 2.4 Liberty -18.6 - - -
Oct 8
6:30 PM
South Alabama @ Arkansas State -10.8 -9.0 3.1 Arkansas State -4.9 - - -
Oct 8
6:30 PM
South Florida @ UTSA 2.3 1.4 3.8 UTSA -2.9 - - -
Oct 9
7:00 PM
Florida State @ Louisville 8.7 11.6 3.3 Louisville -6.2 - - -
Oct 9
6:00 PM
Wyoming @ San José State -12.2 -14.8 2.1 Wyoming -0.5 - - -
Oct 9
6:00 PM
Iowa @ Washington 14.7 15.5 3.5 Washington -4.3 - - -
Oct 9
7:00 PM
Washington State @ Utah State 0.8 -6.3 2.9 Washington State -4.2 - - -
Oct 9
8:15 PM
Iowa State @ BYU 5.2 15.6 2.8 BYU -13.2 - - -
Oct 9
9:00 PM
Hawai'i @ Arizona State -6.3 6.4 2.0 Arizona State -14.7 - - -
Oct 9
10:00 PM
Nevada @ UTEP -15.5 -20.8 2.5 Nevada -2.9 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Sacramento State @ Bowling Green -24.5 -16.3 0.8 Bowling Green -9.0 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Old Dominion @ App State 2.0 -12.6 3.0 Old Dominion -11.6 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall -11.3 -6.0 1.9 Marshall -7.2 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
James Madison @ Georgia Southern 4.6 -9.9 3.4 James Madison -11.1 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
UAB @ Memphis -15.4 0.4 2.2 Memphis -18.0 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Rice @ East Carolina -15.3 0.3 2.4 East Carolina -18.0 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
Charlotte @ North Texas -24.3 -0.3 2.8 North Texas -26.8 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
UConn @ Temple -9.0 -10.7 3.3 Temple -1.6 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Minnesota @ Purdue 5.6 -5.1 1.9 Minnesota -8.8 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
USC @ Penn State 16.8 19.5 2.1 Penn State -4.8 - - -
Oct 9
9:00 PM
UCLA @ Oregon 2.6 29.4 1.9 Oregon -28.7 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Maryland @ Ohio State 1.7 32.2 3.0 Ohio State -33.5 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
Ball State @ Northwestern -22.1 3.5 3.0 Northwestern -28.6 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
Indiana @ Nebraska 27.6 6.9 2.8 Indiana -17.9 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Illinois @ Michigan State 10.8 -1.1 1.4 Illinois -10.5 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Wake Forest @ NC State 3.8 6.5 3.4 NC State -6.1 - - -
Oct 9
9:00 PM
Virginia Tech @ California 2.5 0.9 2.6 California -1.0 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Syracuse @ Virginia -4.6 6.7 1.7 Virginia -13.0 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh -3.4 7.2 2.5 Pittsburgh -13.1 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Duke @ Georgia Tech 5.2 6.5 1.1 Georgia Tech -2.4 - - -
Oct 9
10:00 PM
Kansas @ Utah 4.4 16.7 3.0 Utah -15.3 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
Houston @ Kansas State 6.7 10.8 3.1 Kansas State -7.3 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
UCF @ Oklahoma State 0.6 -3.0 3.1 UCF -0.5 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Arizona @ West Virginia 8.9 -2.7 2.5 Arizona -9.1 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt 20.2 12.1 1.5 Ole Miss -6.6 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
Texas A&M @ Missouri 19.9 12.8 2.4 Texas A&M -4.7 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
LSU @ Kentucky 16.8 3.9 2.7 LSU -10.2 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
South Carolina @ Florida 10.2 11.5 3.6 Florida -4.9 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
Tennessee @ Arkansas 15.8 5.2 0.8 Tennessee -9.8 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
Georgia @ Alabama 25.7 19.2 3.5 Georgia -3.0 - - -
Oct 9
11:00 PM
Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech -8.9 -7.5 3.2 Louisiana Tech -4.6 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Buffalo @ Toledo -14.4 -1.6 2.9 Toledo -15.7 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Kent State @ Western Michigan -18.7 -4.0 2.5 Western Michigan -17.2 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts -5.3 -32.4 2.1 Miami (OH) -25.0 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 AM
Central Michigan @ Ohio -10.7 -4.8 3.3 Ohio -9.2 - - -
Oct 10
12:00 PM
Tulane @ Army 2.1 -1.4 1.6 Tulane -1.9 - - -
Oct 10
3:30 PM
Tulsa @ Navy -11.8 3.2 2.1 Navy -17.1 - - -
Oct 10
3:30 PM
Stanford @ Notre Dame -6.0 26.7 2.2 Notre Dame -34.9 - - -
Oct 10
3:30 PM
Eastern Michigan @ Akron -16.5 -19.3 2.1 Eastern Michigan -0.7 - - -
Oct 10
2:30 PM
Texas @ Oklahoma 22.2 18.1 0.0 Texas -4.1 - - -
Oct 10
3:00 PM
San Diego State @ Oregon State -1.1 -9.5 3.7 San Diego State -4.7 - - -
Oct 10
4:00 PM
North Dakota State @ UNLV -12.8 -0.7 2.3 UNLV -14.4 - - -
Oct 10
6:30 PM
Air Force @ Northern Illinois -5.4 -15.6 1.1 Air Force -9.1 - - -
Oct 10
7:30 PM
Boise State @ Fresno State 5.2 -3.9 2.5 Boise State -6.5 - - -

Biggest Travel Disadvantages This Week

Teams ranked by how much further they travelled than their opponent. At a neutral site both teams travel, so the gap between them is the burden - not the raw trip. Body-clock offset and rest-day differential compound it.

#1 Hawai'i
2,916 miles · -3h body-clock shift · opponent +1d rest
Hawai'i travels 2,916 miles to face Arizona State, arriving with a -3h body-clock shift.
2,278 miles · +3h body-clock shift · +1d rest edge
Virginia Tech travels 2,278 miles to face California, arriving with a +3h body-clock shift.
#3 USC
2,252 miles · -3h body-clock shift · equal rest
USC travels 2,252 miles to face Penn State, arriving with a -3h body-clock shift.
2,000 miles · -3h body-clock shift · +7d rest edge
Sacramento State travels 2,000 miles to face Bowling Green, arriving with a -3h body-clock shift.
1,927 miles · -3h body-clock shift · equal rest
Stanford travels 1,927 miles to face Notre Dame, arriving with a -3h body-clock shift.

Highest Weather-Risk Games This Week

Games ranked by combined wind, temperature, and precipitation impact. Thresholds: sustained wind ≥ 15 mph, gusts ≥ 25 mph, temp ≤ 32°F or ≥ 95°F, precipitation chance ≥ 60%.

68°F, 1 mph wind, 82% precip, Light rain shower
Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts: 68°F, 1 mph wind, 82% precip, Light rain shower: conditions historically favor the home team when passing difficulty is elevated.
70°F, 3 mph wind, 74% precip, Patchy rain nearby
Syracuse @ Virginia: 70°F, 3 mph wind, 74% precip, Patchy rain nearby: conditions historically favor the home team when passing difficulty is elevated.
74°F, 13 mph wind, 2% precip, Clear
Indiana @ Nebraska: 74°F, 13 mph wind, 2% precip, Clear: conditions historically favor the home team when passing difficulty is elevated.

Strongest Home-Field Advantages This Week

Home teams ranked by stadium HFA rating. Higher values reflect stronger historical home performance at that venue. Venues above 4,000 ft are flagged for altitude disadvantage.

#1 UTSA
HFA 3.8 pts · Alamodome · 64,000 capacity
UTSA carries a 3.8-point HFA edge at Alamodome (64,000 capacity) against South Florida.
HFA 3.7 pts · Reser Stadium · 35,548 capacity
Oregon State carries a 3.7-point HFA edge at Reser Stadium (35,548 capacity) against San Diego State.
#3 Florida
HFA 3.6 pts · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · 88,548 capacity
Florida carries a 3.6-point HFA edge at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (88,548 capacity) against South Carolina.

When to Skip This Week 6 Analysis

How We Ranked Week 6's Games

Each ranked section draws from the same enriched data that powers our per-game pages. Travel distances are calculated as straight-line (great-circle) distances from each team's home market to the game stadium. Body-clock offset is the signed time-zone difference the away team crosses, or both teams in case of neutral site games. Rest-day differential is the difference in days since each team last played. Weather scoring compounds wind, temperature, and precipitation against fixed thresholds, dome stadiums are excluded as weather is irrelevant indoors, see our Weather tool for the full methodology.

HFA ratings come from our Home Field Advantage tool, which estimates the per-venue point value based on historical margin-of-victory data. Stadiums above 4,000 ft are flagged; altitude creates a documented visiting-team disadvantage. Power ratings are from the Blue Chip power-rating model. The gap between the model's implied spread and the market line is a directional signal; it is not a betting recommendation.

The Vegas versus Prediction Markets section compares the bookmaker's spread with the spread implied by the Kalshi prediction market - converted from its win probability through a fixed logistic scale - with no model involved. The Model versus Market section sets the Blue Chip model line against both of those markets as a three-way read, and each gap is described with the same language the per-game pages use. ATS records are season-to-date.

Sources

Weather Data

Home Field Advantage

Frequently Asked Questions

How many games are in college football Week 6 2026?

Week 6 of the 2026 FBS season features 58 games tracked by Blue Chip Analytics. The full schedule, lines, and totals are listed in the game table on this page.

How does Blue Chip Analytics rank travel disadvantages?

Teams are ranked by how much further they travelled than their opponent, measured as straight-line distance from each home market to the game stadium. At a home game the host travels nothing, so this is simply the visitor's trip; at a neutral site both teams travel and the gap between them is the burden. Body-clock offset (time-zone hours crossed) is listed alongside distance as a compound fatigue indicator.

What weather conditions qualify as high-risk for this week?

Games are flagged when the kickoff-hour forecast meets at least one of: sustained wind ≥ 15 mph, gusts ≥ 25 mph, temperature ≤ 32°F or ≥ 95°F, or a precipitation chance ≥ 60%. Scores compound across all factors: a cold and windy game ranks higher than a mildly breezy one. Weeks with no game past these thresholds show no weather section at all.

What is a Home Field Advantage (HFA) rating?

Blue Chip's HFA rating estimates the point value of playing at home at a specific stadium, based on historical margin-of-victory data. A rating of 3.0 means the home team historically performs about 3 points better at that venue than their power ratings alone would predict.

What does the Vegas versus Prediction Markets section show?

It ranks games by how far the bookmaker's spread sits from the spread implied by the Kalshi prediction market. Kalshi's win probability is converted to a spread through a fixed logistic scale, and no model is involved - it is one market against another. A wide gap is a directional flag, not a betting recommendation.

What does the Model versus Market section show?

It sets the Blue Chip model line against both the bookmaker line and the Kalshi-implied line - a three-way read - and ranks games by the model's largest disagreement with either market. The size of each gap is described in the same language the per-game pages use. Both the model and the markets can be wrong: treat it as a directional flag, not a pick.

What qualifies as a notable ATS record?

Teams are flagged when at least 4 of their games this season have produced a decided ATS result and their cover rate is ≥60% (hot) or ≤40% (cold). Records are season-to-date and, especially early on, rest on small samples - a hot or cold streak here is context to note, not a demonstrated edge.

Week 6 of the 2026 season features 58 FBS games; the ranked sections above surface the travel, weather, HFA, market-vs-market, model-vs-market, and ATS-record edges most relevant to analysts and informed fans.