Week 6
Ryan Field

Ball State @ Northwestern , Week 6, Oct 10, 2026

0-0 MAC Power rating: -22.1
0-0 Big Ten Power rating: 3.5

Is there value in the Ball State vs Northwestern line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NU -28.6
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors BALLfavors NU ▸
25.6 › NU
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1 BALL1 NU2 BALL2 NU3 BALL3 NUModel: NU -28.6

Northwestern (power rating: 3.5) holds a 25.6-point advantage over Ball State (-22.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Northwestern's home field adds 3.0 points to that advantage at Ryan Field. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Ball State vs Northwestern at Ryan Field?

The latest reading for Ryan Field shows Partly Cloudy, 68°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Ball State and Northwestern compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Northwestern (3.5) over Ball State (-22.1) by 25.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Northwestern brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Northwestern -28.6. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

68°F

Rain27%
Precip0.00"
Humidity83%
Wind3 mph ENE
Gusts6 mph
Wind map for Ball State at Northwestern: aerial view of Ryan Field, wind from the ENE at 3.4 mph, gusting to 5.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Ryan Field
Capacity
35,000
Elevation
594 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Ball StateAway NorthwesternHome
This week174 miles1 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,661 miles414 miles
Body clock00:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Ball State travels 174 miles to this game, a short road trip. Ball State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.