Week 6
Sun Bowl

Nevada @ UTEP , Week 6, Oct 10, 2026

0-0 MW Power rating: -15.5
0-0 MW Power rating: -20.8

Is there value in the Nevada vs UTEP line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NEV -3.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NEVfavors UTEP ▸
‹ 5.3 NEV
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UTEP
NEV
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UTEP
1 NEV1 UTEP2 NEV2 UTEPModel: NEV -3.1

Nevada (power rating: -15.5) carries a 5.3-point advantage over UTEP (-20.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UTEP's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Sun Bowl. Beyond home field, the model also charges Nevada's bye week and the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Nevada vs UTEP at Sun Bowl?

The latest reading for Sun Bowl shows Partly Cloudy, 90°F, heat index 88°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Nevada and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Nevada (-15.5) over UTEP (-20.8) by 5.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UTEP faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Nevada -3.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

90°F

Rain3%
Precip0.00"
Humidity27%
Wind5 mph E
Gusts8 mph
Heat index88°F
Wind map for Nevada at UTEP: aerial view of Sun Bowl, wind from the E at 4.9 mph, gusting to 7.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
10:00 PM MDT
Venue
Sun Bowl
Capacity
51,500
Elevation
3,904 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure NevadaAway UTEPHome
This week919 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week454 miles
Season total4,599 miles4,492 miles
Body clock21:0022:00
Rest14 days7 days

Nevada travels 919 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Nevada arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.