Texas A&M defeated Arkansas 45–42 in a nail-biter. Arkansas covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 29.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Razorback Stadium were Thundery outbreaks possible, 75.0°F, Feels Like 78.8°F with winds of 5.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
75.0°F
Texas A&M travels 396 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Texas A&M won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Arkansas covered the spread.
The total went Over by 29.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Texas A&M (21.6) over Arkansas (10.7) by 10.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Arkansas faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Arkansas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Texas A&M won and Arkansas covered the spread.
