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Week 8 •
Rose Bowl

Maryland17 @FINAL 20UCLA

4-2 Big Ten Power rating: 4.4
2-4 Big Ten Power rating: 5.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UCLA -4.0
PM Implied
UCLA -2.6
Blue Chip model
UCLA -3.7
Edge
-0.3MD
See details
◂ favors MDfavors UCLA ▸Market: UCLA -4.0
UCLA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UCLA
no impact
UCLA
no impact
no impact
1 MD1 UCLA2 MD2 UCLAModel: UCLA -3.7

Betting information

Spread
UCLA -4.0
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
MD 24.3 – 28.3 UCLA
Prediction markets
UCLA 61% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UCLA defeated Maryland 20–17 in a nail-biter. Maryland covered by 1.0; Game went Under by 15.5. The market closed at UCLA -4.0 and the Blue Chip model made it UCLA -3.7. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Maryland vs UCLA?

Maryland

Late-Game Collapse Continues

Maryland lost its third straight game after a 4-0 start, all by a combined 10 points, blowing a late lead again. This pattern of failing to close out games is a major concern heading into a bye week and a matchup with Indiana.

Defense Shines Despite Loss

The Terrapins' defense played lights-out, forcing three turnovers including a pick-six by Jamare Glasker and an interception by Jalen Huskey. They kept UCLA out of the end zone until the final minute, showing potential to be special against upcoming opponents Indiana, Illinois, and Michigan.

Quarterback Malik Washington's Struggles

Washington passed for 210 yards and led a dramatic late touchdown drive, but his interception deep in Maryland territory set up UCLA's go-ahead field goal. His growing pains in clutch situations are a key issue for the offense.

Key Player Ejections Impact Depth

Linebacker Trey Reddick (targeting, second quarter) and cornerback Jalen Huskey (targeting, fourth quarter) were ejected, thinning the defense. Depth will be tested, especially with a bye week to recover before facing Indiana.

Bye Week Offers Reset Opportunity

Maryland has a bye before hosting Indiana on Nov. 1. This break allows time to address late-game execution issues, heal from injuries, and prepare for a tough stretch against ranked opponents.

UCLA

Resilient Comeback Victory

UCLA overcame a 0-4 start and three turnovers to win 20-17, marking their third straight victory. The team showed belief and poise under interim coach Tim Skipper, rallying with three scoring drives in the final six minutes despite an apparent knee injury to quarterback Nico Iamaleava.

Nico Iamaleava's Leadership

Iamaleava passed for 221 yards and led the game-winning drive after returning from a knee injury. His toughness and leadership were highlighted by teammates, and his health will be critical for UCLA's upcoming game at Indiana.

Defensive Strength

UCLA's defense kept Maryland out of the end zone until the final minute of regulation, forcing key turnovers like Scooter Jackson's interception. This defensive performance has been a cornerstone of their turnaround.

Unpredictable Trajectory

After an 0-4 start with coaching changes, UCLA has won three straight including upsets over Penn State and Michigan State. Their next game at Indiana presents another challenge, and their ability to maintain momentum is uncertain.

What were the weather conditions for Maryland vs UCLA?

At kickoff, conditions at Rose Bowl were Clear, 68°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Maryland travels 2,297 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

UCLA won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Maryland covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 15.5 points.

How do Maryland and UCLA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UCLA (5.7) over Maryland (4.4) by 1.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UCLA brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Maryland and UCLA?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

UCLA won and Maryland covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Clear

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity40%
Wind2 mph E
Gusts3 mph
Wind map for Maryland at UCLA: aerial view of Rose Bowl, wind from the E at 1.6 mph, gusting to 3.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
04:00 PM PDT
Venue
Rose Bowl
Capacity
89,702
Elevation
810 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

MarylandAway UCLAHome
This week2,297 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,811 miles
Season total3,714 miles7,718 miles
Body clock19:0016:00
Rest7 days7 days

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