Week 8 • October 18, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
4-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.0
36 FINAL 42
4-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 12.3
TCU covered by 3.5 | Game went Over by 12.5

TCU defeated Baylor 42–36 in a closely contested finish.

Baylor @ TCU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity: 47,000
Elevation: 646 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread TCU -2.5
Total (O/U) 65.5
Expected Score BAY 31.5 - 34.0 TCU
Power Rank Implied Line TCU +2.3
Prediction Markets TCU 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

55.8°F

Wind Chill: 53.6°F
Wind: 8.9 mph SW
Gusts: 12.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 32%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Baylor (Away)

This Week: 80.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 890.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 14

TCU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 899.4 miles
Season Total: 4729.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line TCU -2.5
Total Points 65.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Baylor 10.0
TCU 12.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 81 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Baylor +7
HFA: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity 47,000
Elevation 646 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 55.8°F
Wind Speed 8.9 mph
Your Line TCU +2.3
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Baylor vs TCU?

Baylor: Key Factors

TCU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Baylor travels 81 miles to this game, a short road trip.

TCU won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

TCU covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

How do Baylor and TCU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour TCU (12.3) over Baylor (10.0) by 2.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. TCU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

TCU won and TCU covered the spread.