Week 5September 27, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
31
3-1
American
Power Rank: 2.4
@
FINAL
14
2-2
American
Power Rank: -15.1

By · Last updated

Tulane defeated Tulsa 31–14 to secure a comfortable win. Tulane covered by 2.5; Game went Under by 7.5.

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Chapman Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 804 ft
HFA Rating: 1.9
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Tulane -14.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Odds Implied Score TULN 33.5 - 19.0 TLSA
Power Rank Implied Line Tulane -17.5
Prediction Markets Tulane 85% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Tulane @ Tulsa Preview

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Tulane
Tulsa
Home field: Chapman Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Tulane vs Tulsa?

At kick-off, conditions at Chapman Stadium were Clear, 74.7°F, Feels Like 78.4°F with winds of 6.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 27, 2025
Clear

Clear

74.7°F

Feels Like: 78.4°F
Wind: 6.5 mph SE
Gusts: 13.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 68%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Tulane (Away)

This Week: 544.9 miles
Last Week: 612.4 miles
Season Total: 1409.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 7

Tulsa (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 125.6 miles
Season Total: 1471.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 8

What are the key factors for Tulane vs Tulsa?

Tulane: Key Factors

Dominant Ground Game

Javin Gordon rushed for 78 yards and three touchdowns, providing a reliable and explosive rushing attack that controlled the tempo and kept the Tulsa defense off balance.

Pass Rush Dominance

Harvey Dyson III recorded two sacks, and the team totaled six sacks, consistently pressuring the Tulsa quarterback and forcing hurried throws, which disrupted their passing game.

Turnover Creation

Jahiem Johnson intercepted a pass early in the fourth quarter, showcasing the defense's ability to create turnovers and swing momentum in Tulane's favor.

Balanced Offensive Attack

While the run game was strong, Jake Retzlaff threw for 242 yards, indicating a balanced offensive approach that can exploit defenses through the air when needed.

Defensive Depth and Rotation

Multiple players contributed to the sack total (Santana Hopper, Kameron Hamilton, Chris Rodgers, Makai Williams), highlighting a deep defensive line rotation that keeps players fresh and maintains pressure throughout the game.

Tulsa: Key Factors

Offensive Line Struggles

Tulsa's offensive line allowed six sacks, with quarterback Baylor Hayes taking multiple hits, including a sack that required an injury evaluation. This pressure disrupted the passing game and limited offensive consistency.

Quarterback Performance Under Pressure

Baylor Hayes completed 18 of 36 passes for 245 yards and a touchdown, but was sacked six times and threw an interception. His ability to handle pressure will be critical for future games.

Big Plays Through the Air

Despite the sacks, Hayes connected with Omari Hayes for four chunk plays totaling 89 yards, showing the potential for explosive passing plays when protection holds up.

Early Lead Not Sustained

Tulsa scored a rushing touchdown early in the first quarter to take a lead, but could not maintain momentum as Tulane's defense took over, scoring 31 unanswered points.

Run Game Ineffective

Tulsa's rushing attack was limited, with the team relying heavily on the pass. Establishing a ground game will be essential to balance the offense and reduce pressure on the quarterback.

What happened in the game?

Tulane travels 545 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Tulane won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Tulane covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do Tulane and Tulsa compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Tulane (2.4) over Tulsa (-15.1) by 17.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Tulsa faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Tulsa brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Tulane won and Tulane covered the spread.