Iowa State defeated Arizona 39–14 to secure a comfortable win. Iowa State covered by 21.0; Game went Over by 4.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Jack Trice Stadium were Clear, 64.0°F, Feels Like 64.0°F with winds of 5.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
64.0°F
Becht ran for three touchdowns, showcasing his dual-threat capability, which adds a new dimension to the offense and could be key against Cincinnati's defense.
Sowell had a career-high 146 receiving yards on four catches, including a 52-yard reception, indicating he is emerging as a deep threat that defenses must respect.
Iowa State's quarterbacks combined for 288 passing yards against Arizona, which entered as the nation's best pass efficiency defense, suggesting the passing game is effective even against elite units.
The Cyclones forced a missed field goal, three punts, and an interception on Arizona's first five possessions, setting a tone that could carry over to Cincinnati.
Tight end Ben Brahmer threw a 45-yard pass off an inside handoff to set up a touchdown, showing creative play-calling that could keep Cincinnati off balance.
Arizona travels 1,167 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Arizona arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.
Iowa State won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.
Iowa State covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Over by 4.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Iowa State (10.1) over Arizona (8.6) by 1.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Iowa State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Iowa State won and Iowa State covered the spread.
