Alabama defeated Auburn 27–20 in a one-score game. Push covered by 0.0; Game went Under by 1.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Jordan-Hare Stadium were Partly cloudy, 47.3°F, Wind Chill 43.7°F with winds of 5.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
47.3°F
Alabama scored three touchdowns via the Simpson-Horton connection, all from inside the red zone, highlighting their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities despite limited yardage.
After a dominant first half (17-0 lead), Alabama struggled in the second half, allowing Auburn to tie the game, indicating a need for sustained performance against Georgia.
Jam Miller, who led the team with 83 rushing yards, left the game with an injury, potentially impacting Alabama's ground game against Georgia.
Ty Simpson threw for a season-low 122 yards, suggesting the passing game may need improvement to compete with Georgia's defense in the SEC Championship.
Despite offensive struggles, Alabama's defense forced a critical fumble late to secure the win, showing they can make game-changing plays under pressure.
Alabama travels 127 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Alabama won by 7 in a one-score game.
Push covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 1.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Alabama (27.6) over Auburn (13.8) by 13.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Auburn faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Auburn brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Alabama won and Push covered the spread.
