Week 11 • November 09, 2025, 02:30 AM UTC
6-2
MW
Power Rank: -1.8
42 FINAL 10
2-6
MW
Power Rank: -8.2
UNLV covered by 26.5 | Game went Under by 9.5

UNLV defeated Colorado State 42–10 in a dominant performance.

UNLV @ Colorado State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM MST
Stadium: Canvas Stadium
Capacity: 41,000
Elevation: 5010 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UNLV -5.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Expected Score UNLV 33.5 - 28.0 CSU
Power Rank Implied Line UNLV +6.4
Prediction Markets UNLV 65% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

31.6°F

Wind Chill: 27.2°F
Wind: 4.5 mph NW
Gusts: 9.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 32%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UNLV (Away)

This Week: 629.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8743.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 8

Colorado State (Home)

This Week: 0.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3791.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 15

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UNLV -5.5
Total Points 61.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UNLV -1.8
Colorado State -8.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 629 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Colorado State +7
HFA: Canvas Stadium
Capacity 41,000
Elevation 5010 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 31.6°F
Wind Speed 4.5 mph
Your Line Colorado State -6.4
Implied Value

What are the key factors for UNLV vs Colorado State?

UNLV: Key Factors

Colorado State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

UNLV travels 629 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

UNLV arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

UNLV won by 32 in a dominant performance.

UNLV covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Canvas Stadium?

At 31.6°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do UNLV and Colorado State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UNLV (-1.8) over Colorado State (-8.2) by 6.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UNLV won and UNLV covered the spread.