Week 11 •
Plaster Sports Complex

New Mexico State @ Missouri State , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

2-4 CUSA Power rating: -15.1
1-4 CUSA Power rating: -18.3

Is there value in the New Mexico State vs Missouri State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NMSU -0.5
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NMSUfavors MOST ▸
‹ 3.2 NMSU
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1 NMSU1 MOST2 NMSU2 MOSTModel: NMSU -0.5

New Mexico State (power rating: -15.1) carries a 3.2-point advantage over Missouri State (-18.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Missouri State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Plaster Sports Complex. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect New Mexico State vs Missouri State at Plaster Sports Complex?

The latest reading for Plaster Sports Complex shows Clear, 52°F with winds of 9 mph. Gusts reaching 23 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do New Mexico State and Missouri State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor New Mexico State (-15.1) over Missouri State (-18.3) by 3.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Missouri State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Missouri State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this New Mexico State -0.5. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

52°F

Rain2%
Precip0.00"
Humidity50%
Wind9 mph SSE
Gusts23 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for New Mexico State at Missouri State: aerial view of Plaster Sports Complex, wind from the SSE at 9.4 mph, gusting to 22.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM CST
Venue
Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity
17,500
Elevation
1,339 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure New Mexico StateAway Missouri StateHome
This week837 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,188 miles
Season total14,572 miles6,566 miles
Body clock13:0014:00
Rest7 days7 days

New Mexico State travels 837 miles to this game, a significant road trip. New Mexico State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.