Week 7 • October 11, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
5-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 30.4
34 FINAL 16
5-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 14.5
Ohio State covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 0.5

Ohio State defeated Illinois 34–16 to secure a comfortable win.

Ohio State @ Illinois Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Capacity: 60,670
Elevation: 771 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Ohio State -14.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score OSU 32.5 - 18.0 ILL
Power Rank Implied Line Ohio State +15.9
Prediction Markets Ohio State 85% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light snow

Light snow

29.4°F

Wind Chill: 20.7°F
Wind: 9.4 mph WNW
Gusts: 13.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.03"
Humidity: 90%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 78%

Travel & Rest

Ohio State (Away)

This Week: 276.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4295.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Illinois (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 146.8 miles
Season Total: 1529.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Ohio State -14.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Ohio State 30.4
Illinois 14.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 277 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Capacity 60,670
Elevation 771 ft
Weather: Light snow
Temperature 29.4°F
Wind Speed 9.4 mph
Your Line Illinois -15.9
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Ohio State vs Illinois?

Ohio State: Key Factors

Illinois: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Ohio State travels 277 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ohio State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Ohio State won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Ohio State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 0.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)?

At 29.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 74%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Ohio State and Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ohio State (30.4) over Illinois (14.5) by 15.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Illinois faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Illinois brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ohio State won and Ohio State covered the spread.