Week 7 •
Jones AT&T Stadium

Kansas17 @FINAL 42Texas Tech , Week 7, Oct 11, 2025

4-2 Big 12 Power rating: 9.6
5-0 Big 12 Power rating: 21.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TTU -13.5
PM Implied
TTU -10.5
Blue Chip model
TTU -14.4
Edge
+0.9TTU
See details
◂ favors KUfavors TTU ▸Market: TTU -13.5
11.4 › TTU
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1 KU1 TTU2 KU2 TTU3 KU3 TTUModel: TTU -14.4

Betting information

Spread
TTU -13.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
KU 22.5 – 36.0 TTU
Prediction markets
TTU 85% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas Tech defeated Kansas 42–17 to secure a comfortable win. Texas Tech covered by 11.5; Game went Over by 0.5. The market closed at Texas Tech -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas Tech -14.4. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Kansas vs Texas Tech?

Texas Tech

Dominant rushing attack

Texas Tech rushed for 372 yards, led by Cameron Dickey's career-high 263 yards and two long touchdowns. This ground game will be a key factor against Arizona State's defense.

Quarterback uncertainty

Starter Behren Morton left with a lower right leg injury, and backup Will Hammond threw an interception and struggled before halftime. Hammond's performance in relief will be critical if Morton is unavailable next week.

Defensive pressure

The Red Raiders sacked Kansas quarterbacks nine times, with David Bailey recording three. This pass rush will be vital against Arizona State's offense.

Second-half adjustments

After allowing Kansas to cut the lead to four points at halftime, Texas Tech shut out the Jayhawks in the second half, forcing punts on all five possessions. This resilience bodes well for close games ahead.

What were the weather conditions for Kansas vs Texas Tech?

At kickoff, conditions at Jones AT&T Stadium were Clear, 68°F with winds of 15 mph. Gusts reaching 28 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Kansas travels 523 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Texas Tech won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas Tech covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do Kansas and Texas Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas Tech (21.0) over Kansas (9.6) by 11.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas Tech brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Texas Tech won and Texas Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 11, 2025 Game-time

Clear

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind15 mph S
Gusts28 mph
Wind map for Kansas at Texas Tech: aerial view of Jones AT&T Stadium, wind from the S at 14.5 mph, gusting to 27.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Jones AT&T Stadium
Capacity
60,229
Elevation
3,228 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure KansasAway Texas TechHome
This week523 miles0 miles
Last week2,152 miles935 miles
Season total2,990 miles2,413 miles
Body clock18:3018:30
Rest7 days7 days