Week 3
Rose Bowl

New Mexico35 @FINAL 10UCLA , Week 3, Sep 13, 2025

1-1 MW Power rating: -3.4
0-2 Big Ten Power rating: 1.8

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UCLA -15.5
PM Implied
UCLA -10.9
Blue Chip model
UCLA -7.0
Edge
-8.5UNM
See details
◂ favors UNMfavors UCLA ▸Market: UCLA -15.5
UCLA
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UCLA
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5 UNM5 UCLA10 UNM10 UCLAModel: UCLA -7.0

Betting information

Spread
UCLA -15.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
UNM 18.5 – 34.0 UCLA
Prediction markets
UCLA 85% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

New Mexico defeated UCLA 35–10 to secure a comfortable win. New Mexico covered by 40.5; Game went Under by 7.5. The market closed at UCLA -15.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UCLA -7.0 - a gap of 8.5 points toward New Mexico, of which 7.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated UCLA 5.2 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for New Mexico vs UCLA?

At kickoff, conditions at Rose Bowl were Partly cloudy, 60°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

New Mexico travels 660 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

New Mexico arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

New Mexico won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

New Mexico covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do New Mexico and UCLA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UCLA (1.8) over New Mexico (-3.4) by 5.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UCLA brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

New Mexico won and New Mexico covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

60°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity88%
Wind2 mph SE
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for New Mexico at UCLA: aerial view of Rose Bowl, wind from the SE at 2.2 mph, gusting to 4.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM PDT
Venue
Rose Bowl
Capacity
89,702
Elevation
810 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure New MexicoAway UCLAHome
This week660 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game430 miles
Season total3,316 miles430 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest7 days6 days