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Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 09:30 PM UTC
Washington @ Wisconsin
6-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 18.1
10 FINAL 13
2-6
Big Ten
Power Rank: 3.3
Wisconsin covered by 14.5 | Game went Under by 22.5

By · Last updated

Wisconsin defeated Washington 13–10 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Washington 14.8 points stronger on a neutral field.

Washington @ Wisconsin Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM CST
Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity: 76,057
Elevation: 909 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Washington -11.5
Total (O/U) 45.5
Expected Score WASH 28.5 - 17.0 WIS
Power Rank Implied Line Washington +14.8
Prediction Markets Washington 80% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

11.1°F

Wind Chill: 0.8°F
Wind: 6.7 mph NW
Gusts: 14.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Washington (Away)

This Week: 1619.4 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 10586.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:30
Rest Days: 14

Wisconsin (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5783.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Washington -11.5
Total Points 45.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Washington 18.1
Wisconsin 3.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1619 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity 76,057
Elevation 909 ft
Weather: Mist
Temperature 11.1°F
Wind Speed 6.7 mph
Your Line Wisconsin -14.8
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Washington vs Wisconsin?

Washington: Key Factors

Wisconsin: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Washington travels 1,619 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Washington arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Wisconsin won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Wisconsin covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 22.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Camp Randall Stadium?

At 11.1°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 84%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Washington and Wisconsin compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Washington (18.1) over Wisconsin (3.3) by 14.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Wisconsin faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Wisconsin brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Washington and Wisconsin?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Wisconsin won and Wisconsin covered the spread.