Week 6
Williams Stadium (VA)

Sam Houston @ Liberty , Week 6, Oct 8, 2026

0-0 CUSA Power rating: -24.1
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -7.9

Is there value in the Sam Houston vs Liberty line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
LIB -18.5
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors SHSUfavors LIB ▸
16.2 › LIB
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1 SHSU1 LIB2 SHSU2 LIBModel: LIB -18.5

Liberty (power rating: -7.9) holds a 16.2-point advantage over Sam Houston (-24.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Liberty's home field adds 2.4 points to that advantage at Williams Stadium (VA). Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Sam Houston's extra rest and Sam Houston's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Sam Houston vs Liberty at Williams Stadium (VA)?

The latest reading for Williams Stadium (VA) shows Light rain shower, 75°F with winds of 4 mph. There is a 62% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Sam Houston and Liberty compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Liberty (-7.9) over Sam Houston (-24.1) by 16.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Liberty brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Liberty -18.5. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Light rain shower

75°F

Rain62%
Precip0.02"
Humidity91%
Wind4 mph SW
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Sam Houston at Liberty: aerial view of Williams Stadium (VA), wind from the SW at 4.3 mph, gusting to 4.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
Williams Stadium (VA)
Capacity
25,000
Elevation
883 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Sam HoustonAway LibertyHome
This week1,043 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week489 miles
Season total3,029 miles1,133 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest12 days6 days

Sam Houston travels 1,043 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Sam Houston arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.