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Week 5 •
Aggie Memorial Stadium

Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State

0-0 CUSA Power rating: -5.5
0-1 CUSA Power rating: -18.1

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
WKU -9.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors WKUfavors NMSU ▸
‹ 12.6 WKU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NMSU
no impact
NMSU
NMSU
NMSU
1 WKU1 NMSU2 WKU2 NMSUModel: WKU -9.1

Western Kentucky (power rating: -5.5) carries a 12.6-point advantage over New Mexico State (-18.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. New Mexico State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2) narrows that gap at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges the heat, with a slighter reading for Western Kentucky's trip and the altitude. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State at Aggie Memorial Stadium?

The latest reading for Aggie Memorial Stadium shows Partly Cloudy, 86°F, heat index 84°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Western Kentucky and New Mexico State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Western Kentucky (-5.5) over New Mexico State (-18.1) by 12.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, New Mexico State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. New Mexico State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Western Kentucky and New Mexico State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Western Kentucky -9.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

86°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity27%
Wind9 mph E
Gusts12 mph
Heat index84°F
Wind map for Western Kentucky at New Mexico State: aerial view of Aggie Memorial Stadium, wind from the E at 8.7 mph, gusting to 11.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM MDT
Venue
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Capacity
28,853
Elevation
3,970 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Western KentuckyAway New Mexico StateHome
This week1,198 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total5,669 miles9,090 miles
Body clock19:0018:00
Rest6 days6 days

Western Kentucky travels 1,198 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Western Kentucky arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

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